Maryland State Tournament Predictions - updated 2/25/19
MPSSAA Section Standings - Updated on 2/25/19
All MCPS schools are placed into an MPSSAA region for the state tournament, and all regions are divided into two sections. The MCPS schools are spread across five different sections. The teams' win percentage (not including December holiday tournaments) is used to seed the teams, regardless of what county they may reside.
These results have been updated before games on Monday, February 25th.
4A West Region Section 1 Standings
1. Churchill - 95.00% (19-1)
2. Whitman - 85.00% (17-3)
3. BCC - 65.00% (13-7)
4. WJ - 60.00% (12-8)
5. Einstein - 45.00% (9-11)
6. Kennedy - 5.00% (1-19)
7. Wheaton - 5.00% (1-19)
Churchill is the favorite in the section and the region. They have beaten the top two seeds in 4A North Section 2 (Sherwood and Paint Branch), the co-#3 seed in 2A West Section 1, and the #2 seed in 4A West Section 2, in addition to defeating Whitman once and BCC twice within their own section. Whitman looks like the only team that has a chance of pulling the upset, but Whitman will likely have to defeat neighborhood rival BCC for a third time this year, never an easy task. Don't underestimate WJ who was missing some key players when they pushed Churchill during the regular season. A Whitman at Churchill final will be captivating theater as each look to avenge a loss to each other.
4A West Section 1 Playoff matchups on Friday, March 1st
#1 Churchill - bye
#2 Whitman vs #7 Wheaton - 5:30 pm
#3 BCC vs #6 Kennedy - 5:30 pm
#4 WJ vs #5 Einstein - 6 pm
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#2 Whitman defeats #7 Wheaton - 65-23
#3 BCC defeats #6 Kennedy - 61-25
#4 WJ defeats #5 Einstein - 56-51
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
#1 Churchill defeats #4 WJ - 57-48
#2 Whitman defeats #7 BCC - 50-41
SECTION FINALS
#1 Churchill vs #2 Whitman
4A West Region Section 2 Standings
1. Clarksburg - 78.95% (15-5)
2. Quince Orchard - 70.00% (14-6)
3. Richard Montgomery - 55.00% (11-9)
4. Gaithersburg - 50.00% (10-10)
5. Northwest - 30.00% (6-14)
6. Wootton - 5.00% (1-19)
While Clarksburg clinched the division championship that involved these same six teams, this section is fairly wide open. Clarksburg beat QO by 21 but struggled in two wins to close out Gaithersburg (a combined 6 points) and lost to Richard Montgomery. RM has struggled to score while playing many of the top teams in MCPS down the stretch which included a 4 game losing streak before edging Seneca Valley by a point. Expect RM and Gaithersburg to win their first-round games, but RM needs to find offense or they will have problems pulling away. Quince Orchard handled RM easily during the regular season and will do so again in the postseason in a rematch from last year. Watch for Gaithersburg to pull the upset at Clarksburg in the semi-finals.
4A West Section 2 Playoff matchups on Friday, March 1st
#1 Clarksburg - bye
#2 Quince Orchard - bye
#3 Richard Montgomery vs #6 Wootton - 6 pm
#4 Gaithersburg vs #5 Northwest - 6 pm
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#3 Richard Montgomery defeats #6 Wootton - 49-43
#4 Gaithersburg defeats #5 Northwest - 52-25
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
#4 Gaithersburg defeats #1 Clarksburg - 56-55
#2 Quince Orchard defeats #3 Richard Montgomery - 55-42
SECTION FINALS
#4 Quince Orchard vs #4 Gaithersburg
4A North Region Section 2 Standings
1a. Paint Branch - 85.00% (17-3)
1b. Sherwood - 85.00% (17-3)
3. Urbana - 40.0% (8-12)
4. Blair - 36.84% (7-12)
5. Springbrook - 35.00% (7-13)
6. Northwood - 35.00% (7-12)
This section isn't finished yet!
Paint Branch and Sherwood will be the top two seeds and have first-round byes.
The coin flip will be Tuesday.
This section is all about Paint Branch and Sherwood. They shared the division championship and split their head to head matchups. The coin flip is crucial, not only to host a potential championship matchup but also avoiding Urbana. Paint Branch and Sherwood have both played, and swept, Blair, Springbrook, and Northwood by a combined 8-0. While Sherwood and Paint Branch have the same records, they are very different teams. Sherwood is very young and has played 8 games settled by less than 10 points (for an average point differential of 9.7 points), while Paint Branch is experienced and has won their games by an average of 31.7 points. The third matchup between these two teams would be an exciting matchup, however, do not underestimate Urbana who recently upset Walkersville, and beat Damascus earlier in the year. Damascus just beat Paint Branch last week. In addition, Blair and Springbrook have both played Sherwood to games within six points.
4A North Section 2 Playoff matchups
#1 Paint Branch / Sherwood - bye
#2 Paint Branch / Sherwood - bye
#3 Urbana vs #6 Northwood
#4 Blair vs #5 Springbrook
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#3 Urbana defeats #6 Northwood - 53-45
#4 Blair defeats #5 Springbrook - 51-43
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
Cannot be determined yet
3A West Section 1 Standings
1. Westminster - 75.00% (15-5) - season complete
2. Rockville - 60.00% (12-8) - season complete
3. Manchester Valley - 38.89% (7-11) - 1 games left on Monday
4. Blake - 35.00% (7-13) - season complete
5. Watkins Mill - 30.00% (6-14) - season complete
6. Magruder - 0% (0-20) - season complete
The section championship goes through Carroll County. Westminster has a very good team and will host the section finals, adding travel to the difficulties facing Montgomery County teams. Westminster should have no problems against Blake or Watkins Mill. Rockville has been a big surprise in MCPS play, including a big win over Damascus and a season sweep of neighbor Richard Montgomery. The Rams will have a tough semi-final matchup with always tough Manchester Valley but should pull out a close one down here in Montgomery County. Unfortunately, after that, Rockville will have to head up to Carroll County...
3A West Section 1 Playoff matchups
#1 Westminster - bye
#2 Rockville - bye
#3 Manchester Valley vs #6 Magruder
#4 Blake vs #5 Watkins Mill
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#3 Manchester Valley defeats #6 Magruder - 53-45
#5 Watkins Mill defeats #4 Blake - 39-36
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
#1 Westminster defeats #5 Watkins Mill - 54-31
#2 Rockville defeats #7 Manchester Valley - 52-47
SECTION FINALS
#1 Westminster vs #2 Rockville
2A West Section 2 Standings
1. Middletown - 87.51% (18-3)
2. Poolesville - 85.00% (17-3)
3a. Damascus - 70.00% (14-6)
3b. Walkersville - 70.00% (14-6)
5a. Seneca Valley - 50.00% (10-10)
5b. Williamsport - 50.00% (10-10)
PROJECTIONS - 1. Middletown, 2. Poolesville, 3/4 - coin flip, 5/6 - coin flip
This gets the vote for the MOST COMPETITIVE section in MPSSAA this year.
Middletown earned the # 1 seed last week even though they lost the Frederick County Championship this week to Frederick HS.
Poolesville has done a great job protecting the #2 seed as well as the defending MPSSAA 2A State Champions beat Clarksburg, Kennedy, and then stopped Damascus' 7 game win streak to run their current win streak to 12 games.
Damascus and Walkersville both finish 14-6 and a coin flip will determine that #3 seed.
Seneca Valley fought RM bravely, but their chance to win went in and out with 5 seconds left to lose 38-37. The Eagles are 10-10 and in danger of having a coin flip with Williamsport for the #5/6 seeds. Williamsport sits at 9-10 with a game on Friday night vs South Hagerstown.
2A West Section 2 Playoff matchups
#1 Middletown - bye
#2 Poolesville - bye
#3 Damascus / Walkersville (coin flip) vs #6 Seneca Valley / Williamsport
#4 Damascus / Walkersville (coin flip) vs #5 Seneca Valley / Williamsport
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
TBD
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
TBD
SECTION FINALS
TBD
All MCPS schools are placed into an MPSSAA region for the state tournament, and all regions are divided into two sections. The MCPS schools are spread across five different sections. The teams' win percentage (not including December holiday tournaments) is used to seed the teams, regardless of what county they may reside.
These results have been updated before games on Monday, February 25th.
4A West Region Section 1 Standings
1. Churchill - 95.00% (19-1)
2. Whitman - 85.00% (17-3)
3. BCC - 65.00% (13-7)
4. WJ - 60.00% (12-8)
5. Einstein - 45.00% (9-11)
6. Kennedy - 5.00% (1-19)
7. Wheaton - 5.00% (1-19)
Churchill is the favorite in the section and the region. They have beaten the top two seeds in 4A North Section 2 (Sherwood and Paint Branch), the co-#3 seed in 2A West Section 1, and the #2 seed in 4A West Section 2, in addition to defeating Whitman once and BCC twice within their own section. Whitman looks like the only team that has a chance of pulling the upset, but Whitman will likely have to defeat neighborhood rival BCC for a third time this year, never an easy task. Don't underestimate WJ who was missing some key players when they pushed Churchill during the regular season. A Whitman at Churchill final will be captivating theater as each look to avenge a loss to each other.
4A West Section 1 Playoff matchups on Friday, March 1st
#1 Churchill - bye
#2 Whitman vs #7 Wheaton - 5:30 pm
#3 BCC vs #6 Kennedy - 5:30 pm
#4 WJ vs #5 Einstein - 6 pm
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#2 Whitman defeats #7 Wheaton - 65-23
#3 BCC defeats #6 Kennedy - 61-25
#4 WJ defeats #5 Einstein - 56-51
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
#1 Churchill defeats #4 WJ - 57-48
#2 Whitman defeats #7 BCC - 50-41
SECTION FINALS
#1 Churchill vs #2 Whitman
4A West Region Section 2 Standings
1. Clarksburg - 78.95% (15-5)
2. Quince Orchard - 70.00% (14-6)
3. Richard Montgomery - 55.00% (11-9)
4. Gaithersburg - 50.00% (10-10)
5. Northwest - 30.00% (6-14)
6. Wootton - 5.00% (1-19)
While Clarksburg clinched the division championship that involved these same six teams, this section is fairly wide open. Clarksburg beat QO by 21 but struggled in two wins to close out Gaithersburg (a combined 6 points) and lost to Richard Montgomery. RM has struggled to score while playing many of the top teams in MCPS down the stretch which included a 4 game losing streak before edging Seneca Valley by a point. Expect RM and Gaithersburg to win their first-round games, but RM needs to find offense or they will have problems pulling away. Quince Orchard handled RM easily during the regular season and will do so again in the postseason in a rematch from last year. Watch for Gaithersburg to pull the upset at Clarksburg in the semi-finals.
4A West Section 2 Playoff matchups on Friday, March 1st
#1 Clarksburg - bye
#2 Quince Orchard - bye
#3 Richard Montgomery vs #6 Wootton - 6 pm
#4 Gaithersburg vs #5 Northwest - 6 pm
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#3 Richard Montgomery defeats #6 Wootton - 49-43
#4 Gaithersburg defeats #5 Northwest - 52-25
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
#4 Gaithersburg defeats #1 Clarksburg - 56-55
#2 Quince Orchard defeats #3 Richard Montgomery - 55-42
SECTION FINALS
#4 Quince Orchard vs #4 Gaithersburg
4A North Region Section 2 Standings
1a. Paint Branch - 85.00% (17-3)
1b. Sherwood - 85.00% (17-3)
3. Urbana - 40.0% (8-12)
4. Blair - 36.84% (7-12)
5. Springbrook - 35.00% (7-13)
6. Northwood - 35.00% (7-12)
This section isn't finished yet!
Paint Branch and Sherwood will be the top two seeds and have first-round byes.
The coin flip will be Tuesday.
This section is all about Paint Branch and Sherwood. They shared the division championship and split their head to head matchups. The coin flip is crucial, not only to host a potential championship matchup but also avoiding Urbana. Paint Branch and Sherwood have both played, and swept, Blair, Springbrook, and Northwood by a combined 8-0. While Sherwood and Paint Branch have the same records, they are very different teams. Sherwood is very young and has played 8 games settled by less than 10 points (for an average point differential of 9.7 points), while Paint Branch is experienced and has won their games by an average of 31.7 points. The third matchup between these two teams would be an exciting matchup, however, do not underestimate Urbana who recently upset Walkersville, and beat Damascus earlier in the year. Damascus just beat Paint Branch last week. In addition, Blair and Springbrook have both played Sherwood to games within six points.
4A North Section 2 Playoff matchups
#1 Paint Branch / Sherwood - bye
#2 Paint Branch / Sherwood - bye
#3 Urbana vs #6 Northwood
#4 Blair vs #5 Springbrook
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#3 Urbana defeats #6 Northwood - 53-45
#4 Blair defeats #5 Springbrook - 51-43
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
Cannot be determined yet
3A West Section 1 Standings
1. Westminster - 75.00% (15-5) - season complete
2. Rockville - 60.00% (12-8) - season complete
3. Manchester Valley - 38.89% (7-11) - 1 games left on Monday
4. Blake - 35.00% (7-13) - season complete
5. Watkins Mill - 30.00% (6-14) - season complete
6. Magruder - 0% (0-20) - season complete
The section championship goes through Carroll County. Westminster has a very good team and will host the section finals, adding travel to the difficulties facing Montgomery County teams. Westminster should have no problems against Blake or Watkins Mill. Rockville has been a big surprise in MCPS play, including a big win over Damascus and a season sweep of neighbor Richard Montgomery. The Rams will have a tough semi-final matchup with always tough Manchester Valley but should pull out a close one down here in Montgomery County. Unfortunately, after that, Rockville will have to head up to Carroll County...
3A West Section 1 Playoff matchups
#1 Westminster - bye
#2 Rockville - bye
#3 Manchester Valley vs #6 Magruder
#4 Blake vs #5 Watkins Mill
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
#3 Manchester Valley defeats #6 Magruder - 53-45
#5 Watkins Mill defeats #4 Blake - 39-36
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
#1 Westminster defeats #5 Watkins Mill - 54-31
#2 Rockville defeats #7 Manchester Valley - 52-47
SECTION FINALS
#1 Westminster vs #2 Rockville
2A West Section 2 Standings
1. Middletown - 87.51% (18-3)
2. Poolesville - 85.00% (17-3)
3a. Damascus - 70.00% (14-6)
3b. Walkersville - 70.00% (14-6)
5a. Seneca Valley - 50.00% (10-10)
5b. Williamsport - 50.00% (10-10)
PROJECTIONS - 1. Middletown, 2. Poolesville, 3/4 - coin flip, 5/6 - coin flip
This gets the vote for the MOST COMPETITIVE section in MPSSAA this year.
Middletown earned the # 1 seed last week even though they lost the Frederick County Championship this week to Frederick HS.
Poolesville has done a great job protecting the #2 seed as well as the defending MPSSAA 2A State Champions beat Clarksburg, Kennedy, and then stopped Damascus' 7 game win streak to run their current win streak to 12 games.
Damascus and Walkersville both finish 14-6 and a coin flip will determine that #3 seed.
Seneca Valley fought RM bravely, but their chance to win went in and out with 5 seconds left to lose 38-37. The Eagles are 10-10 and in danger of having a coin flip with Williamsport for the #5/6 seeds. Williamsport sits at 9-10 with a game on Friday night vs South Hagerstown.
2A West Section 2 Playoff matchups
#1 Middletown - bye
#2 Poolesville - bye
#3 Damascus / Walkersville (coin flip) vs #6 Seneca Valley / Williamsport
#4 Damascus / Walkersville (coin flip) vs #5 Seneca Valley / Williamsport
1ST ROUND PREDICTIONS
TBD
SEMI-FINAL PREDICTIONS
TBD
SECTION FINALS
TBD
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