MPSSAA Section Standings - Updated 2/21/19

MPSSAA Section Standings - Updated on 2/21/19
All MCPS schools are placed into an MPSSAA region for the state tournament, and all regions are divided into two sections.  The MCPS schools are spread across five different sections.  The teams' win percentage (not including December holiday tournaments) is used to seed the teams, regardless of what county they may reside.

These results have been updated after games on Thursday, February 21st.

4A West Region Section 1 Standings
1. Churchill - 95.00% (19-1) - season complete
2. Whitman - 84.21% (16-3) - 2/22/19 - Magruder - 7:15 pm
3. BCC - 63.16% (12-7) - 2/22/19 - at Blair - 7:15 pm
4. WJ - 57.89% (11-8) - 2/22/19 - NW - 7:15 pm
5. Einstein - 42.11% (8-11) - 2/22/19 - at Kennedy - 5:30 pm
6. Kennedy - 5.26% (1-18) - 2/22/19 - Einstein - 5:30 pm
7. Wheaton - 5.00% (1-19) - season complete

PROJECTIONS - 1. Churchill, 2. Whitman, 3. BCC, 4. WJ, 5. Einstein, 6. Kennedy, 7. Wheaton
Churchill sealed up the #1 seed with dominating wins over Gaithersburg and RM and their season is complete. Whitman will be the #2 seed as they close their season on Friday with Magruder.

As predicted, BCC has wrapped up the #3 seed with their win over RM. BCC finishes with a game with Blair while WJ should beat Northwest. WJ's loss to Sherwood last week and their head to head loss to BCC is the difference in the seeding. WJ will host a home game as the #4 seed.  Einstein has only won 2 of their last 6 games, but they secured no worse than the #5 seed many weeks ago.

With their loss to Springbrook, Wheaton will finish with the #7 seed and Kennedy the #6 seed.  Kennedy has the head-to-head tiebreaker so they will finish ahead of Wheaton regardless of their result on Friday against Einstein.  Kennedy beat Wheaton by 1 point in the regular season....

4A West Region Section 2 Standings
1. Clarksburg - 78.95% (15-5) - season complete
2. Quince Orchard - 68.42% (13-6) - 2/22/19 - at Gaithersburg - 6:00 pm
3a. Richard Montgomery - 52.63% (10-9) - 2/22/19 - at Seneca Valley - 5:30 pm
3b. Gaithersburg - 52.63% (10-9) - 2/22/19 - QO - 6:00 pm
5. Northwest - 31.58% (6-13) - 2/22/19 - at WJ - 7:15 pm
6. Wootton - 5.26% (1-18) - 2/22/19 - Rockville - 7:15 pm

PROJECTIONS - 1. Clarksburg, 2. QO, 3/4. possible RM & Gaithersburg coin flip, 5. Northwest, 6. Wootton
Clarksburg clinched the #1 seed several weeks ago.  As predicted, QO has clinched the #2 seed with 9 wins in their last 10 games.

Also, there is a strong chance that the 3 seed might come down to a coin flip.  Richard Montgomery lost to Churchill on Thursday night, for its 4th loss in a row, and travels to Seneca Valley on Friday.  It will come down to Friday nights games between RM at SV and QO at Gaithersburg. Based on previous results, RM would be favored over SV and QO over Gaithersburg, but it would not be surprising if the slight underdogs both won. They have split their two matchups so thus the coin flip!

Northwest and Wootton will finish as the 5 and 6 seeds.

The section tournament could be interesting. While Clarksburg won by 20 over QO, they lost to RM and beat Gaithersburg twice by a combined six points.  It's all about matchups!

4A North Region Section 2 Standings
1. Paint Branch - 85.00% (17-3) - season completed
2. Sherwood - 84.21% (16-3) - 2/22/19 - at Blake - 7:15 pm
3. Urbana - 40.0% (8-12) - season completed
4. Blair - 38.89% (7-11) - 2/22/19 - BCC - 7:15 pm
5. Northwood - 36.84% (7-12) - 2/22/19 - Watkins Mill - 5:30 pm
6. Springbrook - 35.00% (7-13) - season completed

PROJECTIONS - 1/2. Paint Branch and Sherwood coin flip, 3/4. Northwood and Urbana coin flip, 5 - Blair, 6 - Springbrook
This section continues to be interesting!

Paint Branch and Sherwood will be the top two seeds and have first-round byes.  Damascus did Sherwood a huge favor with an upset of Paint Branch, allowing the Warriors to draw even at 16-3. Paint Branch traveled to Clarksburg on Thursday and beat the Coyotes to finish 17-3. Sherwood finishes Friday with a game against rival Blake. Sherwood will need to win to tie Paint Branch and go to a coin flip.

The rest of this section is very chaotic.

Urbana has finished their season at 8-12 and currently sits in as the #3 seed.

Northwood sits at 7-12 after being upset by Northwest. Northwood hosts Watkins Mill on Friday and would tie Urbana with a win. This is a game that Northwood can win which would force a coin flip with Urbana. But what seed would they flip for?

Blair will only play 19 games so they cannot end up in a tie with anyone. They have the toughest remaining game as they host BCC and will be a strong underdog. If Blair can pull the upset, they will finish 8-11 and earn the 3 seed. If they lose and Northwood wins, Northwood and Urbana will flip for the 3 seed and Blair would fall to the 5 seed.

So while Northwood could end up the 3 seed, they also could end up the 6 seed! Springbrook holds the head-to-head tiebreaker over Northwood.

Springbrook beat Wheaton on Thursday to finish 7-13. If Northwood loses to Watkins Mill, then Springbrook would end up the 5 seed and Northwood the 6 seed.

3A West Section 1 Standings
1. Westminster - 72.2% (13-5) - 2 games left
2. Rockville - 57.89% (11-8) - 2/22/19 - at Wootton - 7:15 pm
3. Manchester Valley - 41.18% (7-10) - 2 games left on Friday and Monday
4. Blake - 36.84% (7-12) - 2/22/19 - Sherwood - 7:15 pm
5. Watkins Mill - 26.32% (5-14) - 2/22/19 - at Northwood - 5:30 pm
6. Magruder - 0% (0-19) - 2/22/19 - at Whitman - 7:15 pm

PROJECTIONS - 1. Westminster, 2. Rockville, 3. Manchester Valley, 4. Blake, 5. Watkins Mill, 6. Magruder
The section championship goes through Carroll County. Westminster is 13-5 with remaining games against Liberty and Glenelg and they will be favored over both teams. Westminster will hold the #1 seed.

Rockville has been one of the great surprises in MCPS play this year. Currently, they sit at 11-8 and they have games against Wootton remaining. They are heavy favorites against Wootton and will finish 12-8 to get the #2 seed.

Currently, Manchester Valley sits as the #3 seed at 7-10. They had a game canceled on Wednesday due to snow against Owings Mill that would have been a win. The loss of this game could really hurt them in seeding as they likely end up with only 19 games that count in seeding.  The worst they can finish is 7-12.

Blake had a big win over Springbrook but will be a heavy underdog against Sherwood on Friday night. Except them to finish 7-13, meaning that Manchester Valley would hold onto the #3 seed even if they lose their last two games.

Watkins Mill takes the #5 seed with a tough game left against Northwood. Win or lose, they are locked into the #5 seed.

Magruder will be the #6 seed.

2A West Section 2 Standings
1. Middletown - 87.51% (18-3) - season completed
2. Poolesville - 84.21% (16-3) - 2/22/19 - Damascus - 6:00 pm
3. Damascus - 73.68% (14-5) - 2/22/19 - at Poolesville - 6:0 pm
4. Walkersville - 68.42% (13-6) - game left vs Boonsboro
5. Seneca Valley - 52.63% (10-9) - 2/22/19 - RM - 5:30 pm
6. Williamsport - 44.44% (8-10) - 2 games remaining

PROJECTIONS - 1. Middletown, 2. Poolesville, 3. Damascus, 4. Walkersville, 5. Seneca Valley, 6. Williamsport
This gets the vote for the MOST COMPETITIVE section in MPSSAA this year.

As projected, Middletown earned the #1 seed with wins this past week over Urbana and Tuscarora. Just a reminder that in a game that does not matter in the seeding, Middletown did beat Poolesville 50-42 in a Christmas holiday tournament.  Even though they lost the Frederick County Championship this week to Frederick HS, Middletown will still be the top seed.

Poolesville has done a great job protecting the #2 seed as well as the defending MPSSAA 2A State Champions beat Clarksburg and Kennedy to run their current win streak to 11 games. They close this week with Damascus, but neither Walkersville or Damascus can catch them.

Damascus had a very impressive week with a big win over Paint Branch after a big win over Clarksburg and have proven that the projections in this blog are always up to be decided on the court (great job, Hornets!).  They put their 7 game win streak on the line at Poolesville on Friday, February 22nd. This game will decide the MCPS 3A/2A Division championship and could impact who ends up with the 3 seed because...

Walkersville stumbled in an upset to Urbana.  This put Walkersville at 13-6 with one remaining game vs Boonsboro. If Damascus loses and Walkersville wins, they will both finish 14-6 and a coin flip will determine that #3 seed.

Seneca Valley currently sits at 10-9, but the Eagles closing with RM at home. A win at home gets SV the #5 seed, but a loss puts them in danger of having a coin flip with Williamsport for the #5/6 seeds. Williamsport sits at 8-10 with two games remaining.

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